Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.000885 0.001007 0.001135 0.001280 0.001439 0.001608 0.001801
2025-03-02 0.000705 0.000876 0.001068 0.001299 0.001567 0.001867 0.002226
2025-03-09 0.000580 0.000766 0.000986 0.001260 0.001591 0.001974 0.002447
2025-03-16 0.000485 0.000679 0.000917 0.001226 0.001610 0.002068 0.002649
2025-03-23 0.000425 0.000626 0.000881 0.001223 0.001661 0.002194 0.002885
2025-03-30 0.000376 0.000581 0.000851 0.001222 0.001709 0.002316 0.003116
2025-04-06 0.000332 0.000537 0.000816 0.001210 0.001740 0.002413 0.003316
2025-04-13 0.000290 0.000493 0.000776 0.001188 0.001754 0.002485 0.003484
2025-04-20 0.000270 0.000476 0.000773 0.001214 0.001830 0.002640 0.003759
2025-04-27 0.000249 0.000457 0.000764 0.001230 0.001894 0.002777 0.004014
2025-05-04 0.000222 0.000426 0.000736 0.001217 0.001914 0.002856 0.004192
2025-05-11 0.000197 0.000394 0.000703 0.001194 0.001918 0.002912 0.004339
2025-05-18 0.000181 0.000378 0.000695 0.001207 0.001975 0.003043 0.004592
2025-05-25 0.000166 0.000362 0.000684 0.001215 0.002025 0.003166 0.004838
2025-06-01 0.000145 0.000331 0.000647 0.001182 0.002011 0.003197 0.004955
2025-06-08 0.000126 0.000302 0.000612 0.001148 0.001995 0.003222 0.005063
2025-06-15 0.000114 0.000286 0.000597 0.001145 0.002025 0.003314 0.005267
2025-06-22 0.000104 0.000272 0.000584 0.001145 0.002057 0.003410 0.005477
2025-06-29 0.000093 0.000256 0.000566 0.001133 0.002072 0.003479 0.005650
2025-07-06 0.000082 0.000237 0.000542 0.001112 0.002070 0.003523 0.005785
2025-07-13 0.000078 0.000233 0.000545 0.001137 0.002141 0.003677 0.006085
2025-07-20 0.000073 0.000227 0.000543 0.001152 0.002198 0.003812 0.006357
2025-07-27 0.000066 0.000214 0.000526 0.001140 0.002208 0.003873 0.006522